Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 3.295255 3.734357 4.199079 4.726412 5.307010 5.925576 6.633236
2024-12-22 2.561893 3.187025 3.898549 4.762993 5.779151 6.929926 8.325591
2024-12-29 2.135976 2.885800 3.795054 4.965494 6.417671 8.144999 10.338303
2025-01-05 1.803712 2.626534 3.682467 5.112128 6.969581 9.271586 12.306840
2025-01-12 1.485823 2.324809 3.460719 5.072213 7.255230 10.061470 13.885834
2025-01-19 1.282117 2.140774 3.360240 5.162454 7.693087 11.048392 15.748864
2025-01-26 1.112516 1.976059 3.258799 5.227407 8.083333 11.976356 17.564932
2025-02-02 0.977697 1.841433 3.179602 5.305921 8.483382 12.923732 19.437705
2025-02-09 0.845477 1.689248 3.052397 5.293448 8.739601 13.671181 21.055719
2025-02-16 0.721187 1.530119 2.893181 5.210902 8.875974 14.242516 22.437665
2025-02-23 0.638921 1.432056 2.820294 5.252687 9.194737 15.083153 24.228813
2025-03-02 0.558678 1.324615 2.717878 5.233290 9.409929 15.771657 25.816151
2025-03-09 0.504951 1.263149 2.693319 5.348292 9.856057 16.845320 28.045958
2025-03-16 0.442447 1.173836 2.608832 5.353337 10.124361 17.661055 29.927521
2025-03-23 0.411646 1.147198 2.638136 5.559884 10.736823 19.037944 32.716337
2025-03-30 0.377983 1.108372 2.639016 5.713332 11.265725 20.302340 35.375594
2025-04-06 0.328369 1.023042 2.537078 5.666302 11.443536 21.007185 37.182151
2025-04-13 0.297994 0.978772 2.513507 5.763642 11.876273 22.139833 39.699582
2025-04-20 0.268799 0.931816 2.478379 5.834073 12.261912 23.206309 42.142752
2025-04-27 0.243960 0.891531 2.452714 5.919691 12.676982 24.334374 44.718150
2025-05-04 0.215186 0.834099 2.381482 5.905908 12.905260 25.151649 46.807729
2025-05-11 0.185370 0.766571 2.278127 5.815517 12.981757 25.707588 48.478322
2025-05-18 0.166729 0.728987 2.241104 5.861218 13.317413 26.721508 50.939461